The stock market has been hovering near record highs despite an assortment of economic and geopolitical risks. In the spirit of Halloween, we discuss some of the tricks and treats that might spook the markets between now and year-end. Trade remains the biggest worry,...
The stock market has started October on a bumpy path. Many global issues remain unresolved, but seasonal forces, sound fundamentals, and breakthroughs on the trade and geopolitical1 fronts could help sustain the S&P 500 Index at record highs. Volatility can be...
COMPASS CHANGES Downgraded energy commodities from neutral to negative/neutral INVESTMENT TAKEAWAYS We have maintained our S&P 500 Index year-end fair value target of 3,000 even as the index hovers near that level following recent progress on U.S.-China trade...
Stocks Stall, Yields Fall Amid Economic Mixed Signals U.S. economy sends mixed signals. Gross domestic product (GDP) rose 2% in the second quarter. Consumer spending added 3 percentage points to overall growth, while trade and inventories were a 1.6 percentage point...
Corporate earnings growth has ground to a halt, but we think better times lie ahead. While tariffs and ongoing trade uncertainty could delay improvement, we remain optimistic that some progress on trade will be forthcoming and earnings growth could pick up over the...
