Research

2026 Outlook: The Policy Engine

In 2026, we observed a market environment where fiscal and monetary policy decisions, rather than traditional business fundamentals, were the primary drivers of market direction. This shift means that policy influence and market momentum have become significantly more impactful in shaping market trends, often overshadowing underlying economic performance…

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Midyear Outlook 2025: Pragmatic Optimism, Measured Expectations

Midyear Outlook 2025: Pragmatic Optimism, Measured Expectations

We started 2025 on a high note, although we acknowledged that “no market environment is ever permanent, and that change is always potentially around the corner.” Well change did come, and with it, volatility, perhaps in part because we assumed President Trump’s policies would simply mirror those of his prior term. The impact of policy…

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